Warning: this post contains mildly political views.
Commentary: Bankruptcy, not bailout, is the right answer
By Jeffrey A. Miron
Special to CNN
“Eliminate those policies that generated the current mess. This means, at a general level, abandoning the goal of home ownership independent of ability to pay. This means, in particular, getting rid of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, along with policies like the Community Reinvestment Act that pressure banks into subprime lending.”
I read that CNN op-ed yesterday. A lot of what Mr. Miron says makes sense on the gut level and the macroeconomic level. I also know that 10 out of 10 economists will agree that something needs fixing, though they won’t be able to agree on exactly what that fix should be. I suppose that’s why I read an opposing viewpoint published in the Economist yesterday, too. : ]
From my armchair, I like one of Mr. Miron’s basic premises especially. Home ownership is a lovely idea, but not above all other economic concerns. A family I respect very much who lives down the street from us were married for 19 years before they settled into a mortgage. Renting isn’t the end of the world, and I’m seeing dozens of families stuck in their “starter homes” because they can’t unload them for near their original value.
However, laying all this at the feet of Freddie, Fannie, and the Community Reinvestment Act is a bit of a stretch for me. It just doesn’t pass the sniff test. But then I found this this bit from a Business Week blogger which explains recent (like, in the last decade) developments more articulately than I can. BW takes a cursory look at some more recent financial inventions that have a more immediate contribution to our current mess than Fannie, Freddie, and the CRA.
The way I see it, the current problem owes a great deal of its current voracity to the motivation of the banks who got into the act chasing greed with subprime, ARM, and all that mess compounded with these weird financial inventions like credit swapping to the point that their own financial officers can’t explain exactly how they were making money (with echoes of Enron). These guys really ought to fail. As long as we support corporate personhood, we should also hold those corporations to “personal” responsibility for their actions.
It would be my hope that when the greedy dinosaurs start going extinct, that the smaller, more community-focused entities will be agile enough to continue serving their communities. Yes, I’m looking at USAA (our bank) when I say this. There’s also the adage that, if a corporation is too large to fail, then perhaps it’s too large to exist.
I also like to point out that after the market took a 777 point drop yesterday (7% of its net worth — not much compared to many other recent events — 14% for 9/11, 22% for Black Monday, 1987), it’s already rallied over 200 points this morning. These investors are a skittish lot.
Let’s go back to my armchair for a moment. Seems to me that, with the numbers floating around I’ve been reading, $700B would pay for a huge percentage of the current number of mortgages in trouble outright, rather than propping up the institutions that are foreclosing on those properties. I mean, with a mean home cost of $250k going into $700B (which is a ridiculously large and incomprehensible number when you write out all the zeroes) just about 3 million homes could be paid for free and clear. Not that I’m suggesting we buy these people’s houses free and clear, after all, they made poor choices with their finances in many cases. But we shouldn’t simply allow them to be out on the street when the banks decide they have to take all their money back, even if it’s in the form of mortgaged property.
So, then. What is the $700B actually going for? Ah yes, to buy lousy securities that are poison to these companies. It simply doesn’t make sense that the government buying out $700B of bad debt will somehow magically make that same debt profitable again.
Yes, the larger picture of gloom is the credit crunch and how local businesses will fail when banks everywhere start refusing to float loans, but once these community-focused banks peer out from behind their ramparts, they’ll pick up the ball and help keep their community entities solvent. Yes, I really believe in Jimmy Stewart’s Bailey Building and Loan, too.
The “bailout” deal I’m looking for goes something like this: 120 day moratorium on foreclosures so consumers can get their feet under them. Federal compulsion for lending banks to get out of the investment business (30-1 investments with mortgage backed securities? Get real!). Some kind of limits on executive compensation packages (and in some cases, reclaiming that money if the institution actually fails — it completely burns me that the ousted CEOs of Fannie and Freddie kept their golden parachutes). And finally, take all that money and reinvest it back into local institutions, US infrastructure, and education so we, as a country, can get back to our historical core competencies — science, engineering, medicine, and all that industrious sort of stuff that used to make us great.
What it all comes down to for us is that, there’s not too much to worry about since we’re not carrying any consumer debt. The rising price of oil affects basic living expenses more than the credit crunch, so cost of living isn’t too much of an issue (aside from trickle-down hysteria). Our household is going to continue trying to live frugally and take the long view on our existing investments.
In the meantime, if you think there’s something fishy about borrowing another $700B to apply a band-aid to a much larger problem, please contact your representatives without delay. I don’t presume to know what the fix is, but I have a strong suspicion that it’s better than the current plan.
Update:
Just got an excellent explanation from Dennis Kucinich about where the $700B comes from in my inbox. Chew on this for a minute:
Here is a very quick explanation of the $700 billion bailout within the context of the mechanics of our monetary and banking system:
The taxpayers loan money to the banks. But the taxpayers do not have the money. So we have to borrow it from the banks to give it back to the banks. But the banks do not have the money to loan to the government. So they create it into existence (through a mechanism called fractional reserve) and then loan it to us, at interest, so we can then give it back to them.
Confused?
This is the system. This is the standard mechanism used to expand the money supply on a daily basis not a special one designed only for the “$700 billion” transaction. People will explain this to you in many different ways, but this is what it comes down to.
Oy.